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One thing you can count on with the Detroit Lions is that they are never, ever boring. Follow the latest news including injuries, roster moves and more here daily from Oakland Press beat writer Paula Pasche. Plus you'll find regular commentary about the team.

3/14/2009

Analyzing the Redding trade

I'm not as high on the Cory Redding-Julian Peterson trade as most of the people I've received emails from this afternoon. Not that I think it's bad, I'm just not sure what kind of player Peterson is these days.

My first inclination is to think of him as the 10-sack monster from a few years ago and I know lots of people remember how dominant he was at Michigan State. But his production fell considerably last year - five sacks, no interceptions - and the trade is a plug-one-hole, open-another sort of deal with no real future value (unless Seattle hits on the fifth-round pick it got as part of the package).

Peterson will be 31 when the season begins, has one serious injury in his past (a blown Achilles in 2004) and his contract is such that, unless he restructures, he won't be here long term (he's due $6.5 million in base salary this year and $7.5 million next with $500,000 raises the two seasons after).

Sure, he'll start at strong-side linebacker, which fills a major void on the Lions' roster. But by dealing Redding they now have just as gaping a hole at defensive tackle (unless you think Andre Fluellen or Ikaika Alama-Francis is ready to step in full time) and it may eliminate the need for Wake Forest linebacker Aaron Curry at the top of the draft.

I don't mean to imply that Redding is irreplaceable. He's absolutely not. He's injury prone, due a big salary himself (though at $3.3, $4.3 million and $5 million the next three years, he's considerably cheaper than Peterson) and like Peterson on the backside of his career.

I'm just not ready to give the trade glowing marks yet. Not with the Lions now without fourth- and fifth-round picks in the draft, and not until I see what else lies ahead.

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10 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

it's funny....i live in seattle and i remember seeing a JP commercial and i was thinking to myself, 'i dunno why, but i gotta feeling that one day he'll be a lion.' this was back in 2006 when he first came to seattle and now here we are and now he's a lion. good times.

3:42 PM 
Anonymous Steve said...

I really wish they could have figured something else other than giving up a pick. I know it is a 5th rounder and we haven't even been able to pick 1st rounders, but I just think we need as many as we can get.

4:39 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Not a fan of giving up picks either but the dude can rush the passer. Imagine him, Curry and Sims as our LBs. Can't beat that with a bat.

5:58 PM 
Blogger Ty said...

Dave--

Given how anonymous Redding was last year, and the athleticism Fluellen showed in what little time he got, AND Grady Jackson demanding double-teams next to him, don't you think he at least as the potential to equal Redding's performance? I frankly think the Lions won't lose much at all by swapping in a younger, hungrier player.

Peace
Ty @ The Lions in Winter

6:04 PM 
Anonymous freebird22 said...

It makes you wonder if something else is in the works. The Lions can't go into the 2009 season with 36 year old Grady Jackson and 33 year old Chuck Darby as full-time starters.

Perhaps, the Lions have zeroed in on Raji as the No. 1 overall pick. Of, maybe they intend to take Jerry or Hood at No. 20 or Brace at No. 33.

Maybe, the Lions are going to trade Ernie Sims for a draft pick with the plan of drafting Curry.

Giving up a 5th Rd pick is a head scratcher in an exchange of over 30 years of age players.

6:10 PM 
Blogger Dave Birkett said...

Schwartz said the offseason was "incomplete" the other day, and that's why I'll wait to hand out grades until after the draft. You're absolutely right, Freebird. At the end of the day it may come down to what you like better, say they end up with Peterson-Stafford-Jerry vs. what they might have had in Redding-Curry-Laurinaitis.

Again, I don't think Redding was great and I don't mind trading him on the surface, I just don't know if Peterson is still a Pro Bowler so I don't know if it's the steal some people are making it out to be.

6:52 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Mayhew and the front office are getting ripped.

http://www.profootballtalk.com/2009/03/14/same-old-lions/

8:00 PM 
Anonymous Marty said...

Dave,

I completely disagree with you about the "plug-one-hole, open-another" part of the trade. Redding was completely disposable, because the Lions have three other tackles with the same skill set (Cohen, Fluellen, and Darby), plus they could resign Shaun Cody, who is another Redding type player. The Lions have a dearth of UT's and getting rid of one probably helps clear that up. What they lack are NT's, and Redding was never going to be one of those with his skill set.

That said, I never was one to really want Peterson, as I always thought of him as a one dimensional player. I hope that I am wrong, and he is an all around LB at the strong side, but I don't have any problems with this trade other than we lost of a fifth round pick.

I see it as a starting SAM for a 5th round pick, plus we get rid of the salary of a very disposable player. His salary was probably the biggest reason we didn't see more of Fluellen and Cohen earlier in the year.

-Marty

10:26 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dave,

I think anytime you can trade an unproductive, injury prone player for a pro bowl player who hasn't missed any time in over 3 years - you do it.

Peterson is going on 31, but he remain a huge upgrade on Paris Lenon.

Redding had one good year, since then, nothing. He wasn't even that productive when Rogers was beside him. Is Fluellen much worse?

Meanwhile JP opens up all sorts of opportunities: 3-4 Defense with Curry-Avril-Sims at LB; 4-3 with a draft of Hood, Jerry, McGee, Marks or Gilbert easily filling the tackle rotation.

Basically instead of the 3 lame units on defense you had on December 31, you now have 1 upgraded to decent (DB's), one solid (LB) and just one totally suspect (D-Line).

The Lions are trying hard. Adding a probowler to an 0-16 team is never a bad thing - even if he only give you a couple of years of A level service.

1:12 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

i'm torn between wanting cutler to come here. i know he'd be infinitely times better than what we have now [based on what we've seen THUS FAR from peppy and stanton], BUT he sounds like a whiny ass prima dona to me.

i just don't know if i'd be willing to break the bank for him, but if we could get him for a REASONABLE price, i'd be all for it.

4:02 PM 

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