I don't have much confidence that Dan Orlovsky's fourth (and perhaps final) start as a Lion will be much different than his first three. The Bears will get out to an early lead, control the clock for most of the game, and the Lions will keep things just close enough to tantalize their fans.

Since the Bears are 13-point favorites today (understandable since they beat the Lions, 34-7, last month), that means I'm picking Detroit to cover its final game B.C.(before Culpepper).

Here's the rest of my picks. As always, choices are against the spread and home team is in all caps.

Home covers you can't deny
MINNESOTA minus-4 1 2 over Houston
JACKSONVILLE minus-7 1 2 over Cincinnati
BUFFALO minus-5 over N.Y. Jets
TENNESSEE minus-4 over Green Bay
DENVER minus-3 1 2 over Miami
N.Y. GIANTS minus-8 1 2 over Dallas
INDIANAPOLIS minus-6 1 2 over New England

Home dogs that bite
OAKLAND plus-3 over Atlanta

Road warriors laying with love
Philadelphia minus-6 1 2 over SEATTLE
Arizona minus-3 over ST. LOUIS
Baltimore minus-2 over CLEVELAND
Tampa Bay minus-9 over KANSAS CITY

Don't need 'em but I'll take 'em
Pittsburgh plus-2 over WASHINGTON

Record: 6-7-1 last week, 57-55-3 season