I said in a web video segment I did earlier this week with Fox 2's Woody Woodriffe that the Lions would beat the Bears today, 21-20, and I can't go away from that now. I guess I'm expecting a little bit of a Matt Millen bounce at home before the Lions resort to losing football on the road next week.

That means I'm taking the Lions plus 3 1/2 points to beat the Bears. Here's the rest of my Week 5 picks. As always, picks are against the spread and home teams are in caps:

Home covers you can't deny
PHILADELPHIA minus-6 1/2 over Washington
GREEN BAY minus-3 1/2 over Atlanta
NY GIANTS minus-7 over Seattle
DENVER minus-3 1/2 over Tampa Bay
ARIZONA minus-1 1/2 over Buffalo
JACKSONVILLE minus-5 1/2 over Pittsburgh

Home dogs that bite
BALTIMORE plus-2 1/2 over Tennessee
HOUSTON plus-3 over Indianapolis

Road warriors laying with love
New England minus-3 over SAN FRANCISCO
San Diego minus-6 1/2 over MIAMI

Points only, please
Kansas City plus-10 over CAROLINA
Cincinnati plus-16 over DALLAS

Don't need 'em, but I'll take 'em
Minnesota plus-3 over NEW ORLEANS (Monday)

Record: 9-4 last week, 29-28-2 overall