I've gone back and forth on my Super Bowl pick here the last couple days. I picked Pittsburgh to win at the start of the playoffs and haven't swayed from that, but the way Arizona has played the last few weeks, how good Larry Fitzgerald is and Kurt Warner's experience got me thinking this could be a nail-bitter.

Then I wised up. I won't call Arizona a fraud. They do have some dynamic offensive talent. But the AFC was a much better conference than the NFC this year and Pittsburgh was the class of the league all along. The Steelers have the game's best defense, they have the front to make the Cardinals one-dimensional, and they have the running game to control the clock.

Plus, picking Arizona (even against the number) is like picking the Lions, and as someone who's followed the NFL's other floundering franchise the last couple years, I know better than that. So here it is, a few hours before kickoff, set in stone: The Steelers will win their second Super Bowl in three seasons, 27-17, with Arizona getting a cosmetic touchdown late.