Twelve days 'til Selection Sunday and I still don't see Michigan as an NCAA team unless they beat Ohio State this weekend and win a game in the Big Ten tournament.
I know the Wolverines beat Michigan State yesterday, but the Spartans remain the superior team. Drew Neitzel was playing on fumes. Two possessions into the game it was obvious he didn't have the motor to run off screens like he usually does, and after the game his face was pale (OK, paler than usual) and his voice sounded in need of some serious chicken noodle soup. Neitzel's sidekicks, Drew Naymick and Raymar Morgan, were seriously under the weather, too. I won't go as far as to say MSU would have won if all three were healthy, but I'm sure the Spartans would like a rematch in Chicago.
As for Michigan, the Wolverines' only hope of getting in the tournament is for Dion Harris to keep playing like he did Tuesday (24 points). He's a good player, and it's a mystery how he's able to disappear in Michigan's offense like he has at times this year. Seriously, if I were Tommy Amaker I'd use Harris sort of like MSU does Neitzel. Harris doesn't need as many screens to get open and is better at creating his own shot, but Michigan's offense is brutal without him.
If you're a bubble-watching Michigan fan, Saturday's game shouldn't be your only one of interest this week. You want teams like Butler (Horizon), Winthrop (Big South) and Gonzaga (West Coast) to win their conference tournaments this week to keep as many at-large bids as possible open. MSU fans should be cheering for the same thing, though I still believe MSU makes the tournament with one win in Chicago. As the league's seventh or eighth seed, that shouldn't be a problem.